SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground) weather and microclimate

    Live weather and microclimate analysis for the Sydney Cricket Ground, with an AI read on how conditions affect the total.

    Sydney, NSW
    Open
    Grass
    48,000 capacity

    Game-time forecast at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground)

    Loading the first bounce forecast…

    No AFL game is scheduled at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground) right now. The next fixture appears here automatically as soon as the draw lists one. The 2027 season starts in March. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

    Conditions now at the venue

    Live conditions are briefly unavailable.

    Microclimate profile

    Coastal inner-Sydney ground with heritage stands of uneven height, producing swirl rather than a clean directional wind. Humid in summer with an afternoon north-easterly sea breeze; mild winters and moderate dew.

    GROUND AXIS
    8° (N)
    ELEVATION
    14 m
    ROOF
    Open

    Wind direction is read against the ground axis: a breeze running along the axis helps or hurts kicking end to end, while a crosswind mostly pushes the ball sideways.

    Last games at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground): conditions vs total

    DateMatchConditionsOur readTotal
    23 Aug 2026Sydney v North Melbourne——193 (123-70)
    8 Aug 2026Sydney v Port Adelaide——237 (167-70)
    17 July 2026Sydney v Adelaide——158 (71-87)
    4 July 2026Sydney v Western Bulldogs——145 (90-55)
    7 June 2026Sydney v St Kilda——206 (104-102)

    Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.

    Scoring baseline at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground)

    Reading the venue history…

    Upcoming games at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground)

    No AFL game is scheduled at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground) right now. This list fills itself the moment the draw lists one — the 2027 season starts in March. Recent results, the venue scoring baseline and the live conditions read above are current either way.

    Weather normals at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground), month by month

    Measured at the ground for every AFL game we have archived here (208 games). Months with fewer than 5 games are left out rather than averaged from a handful.

    MonthGamesAvg tempAvg windWet games
    March1322.6°C10.9 km/h23%
    April3519.5°C13.5 km/h26%
    May4216.6°C11.2 km/h12%
    June3414.7°C12.7 km/h18%
    July4213.7°C11.9 km/h12%
    August3115.5°C12.3 km/h16%
    September1117.0°C12.6 km/h0%

    Scoring in matched conditions at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground)

    Games here have averaged 169.2 combined points across all conditions. Each slice below needs at least 10 games at this ground to appear.

    Wind 20+ km/h
    153.2
    29 games · -16.0 vs venue average
    Any rain
    157.0
    33 games · -12.2 vs venue average

    These are descriptive historical averages at this ground, not predictions for any future game, and not a claim about betting markets. Slices overlap — a cold game can also be a windy one.

    Game-time weather read

    No fixture is scheduled at SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground) yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 6 hours before first bounce once a match is on the calendar.

    Stadium Map

    SCG (Sydney Cricket Ground) weather questions

    Only from the east. The stands are uneven in height, so most directions arrive broken up, but a coastal easterly runs across the ground with little to stop it and can create a genuine scoring end.

    Often. Sydney humidity means the dew point sits close to the overnight temperature for much of the season, so a still evening game can get greasy before half time.

    No. It is fully open, so every game is exposed to the forecast at first bounce.

    What the research says

    The published studies behind the read on this page at the SCG. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

    • AFL Temperature & Scoring

      Temperature is the cleanest AFL weather signal: dry matches under 10°C score 9.9 points below their own season average (t=-4.59, n=198), while 25–29°C matches run 12.6 points above it (t=4.88, n=118). Every extra degree is worth about 1.1 points.

      2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30°C+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only

    • AFL Wind & Scoring

      Wind below about 20 km/h does nothing measurable to an AFL total. At 20 km/h and above, matches run 5.2 points under their own season average (t=-3.44, n=382 dry matches).

      2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30 km/h+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only

    • AFL Rain & Scoring

      Wet games cost 13.6 points on a season-adjusted basis, with the wet end of the scale running at about 3.5 points per millimetre of rain.

      4,349 matches across two decades, match-window rainfall

    All weather research · How our leans are derived