Adelaide Oval weather and microclimate

Live weather and microclimate analysis for Adelaide Oval on the Torrens, with an AI read on conditions and scoring.

Adelaide, SA

Open

Grass

53,000 capacity

Game-time forecast at Adelaide Oval

Loading the first bounce forecast…

No AFL game is scheduled at Adelaide Oval right now. The next fixture appears here automatically as soon as the draw lists one. The 2027 season starts in March. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

Conditions now at the venue

Live conditions are briefly unavailable.

Microclimate profile

Open bowl on the Torrens riverbank; afternoon sea-breeze arrives from the south-west and funnels along the river, often lifting late in the day. Northern end is more exposed than the heritage scoreboard end. Dry heat in summer, sharp evening cooling and heavy dew in autumn.

GROUND AXIS

171° (S)

ELEVATION

20 m

ROOF

Open

Wind direction is read against the ground axis: a breeze running along the axis helps or hurts kicking end to end, while a crosswind mostly pushes the ball sideways.

Last games at Adelaide Oval: conditions vs total

Date	Match	Conditions	Our read	Total
15 Aug 2026	Port Adelaide v Melbourne	—	—	188 (56-132)
1 Aug 2026	Port Adelaide v GWS	—	—	138 (63-75)
18 July 2026	Port Adelaide v Fremantle	—	—	178 (75-103)
11 July 2026	Adelaide v Gold Coast	—	—	177 (128-49)
6 July 2026	Port Adelaide v North Melbourne	—	—	125 (73-52)

Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.

Scoring baseline at Adelaide Oval

Reading the venue history…

Upcoming games at Adelaide Oval

No AFL game is scheduled at Adelaide Oval right now. This list fills itself the moment the draw lists one — the 2027 season starts in March. Recent results, the venue scoring baseline and the live conditions read above are current either way.

Weather normals at Adelaide Oval, month by month

Measured at the ground for every AFL game we have archived here (284 games). Months with fewer than 5 games are left out rather than averaged from a handful.

Month	Games	Avg temp	Avg wind	Wet games
March	21	22.7°C	13.3 km/h	5%
April	61	18.4°C	14.8 km/h	15%
May	45	16.1°C	12.4 km/h	22%
June	45	12.2°C	13.8 km/h	33%
July	47	11.9°C	14.7 km/h	34%
August	47	12.5°C	13.4 km/h	28%
September	16	15.0°C	12.5 km/h	13%

Scoring in matched conditions at Adelaide Oval

Games here have averaged 166.2 combined points across all conditions. Each slice below needs at least 10 games at this ground to appear.

Wind 20+ km/h

159.9

56 games · -6.3 vs venue average

Cold (under 10°C)

162.8

19 games · -3.4 vs venue average

Warm (25°C+)

179.6

14 games · +13.4 vs venue average

Any rain

153.0

67 games · -13.2 vs venue average

These are descriptive historical averages at this ground, not predictions for any future game, and not a claim about betting markets. Slices overlap — a cold game can also be a windy one.

Game-time weather read

No fixture is scheduled at Adelaide Oval yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 6 hours before first bounce once a match is on the calendar.

Stadium Map

Adelaide Oval weather questions

The dominant pattern is a south-westerly sea breeze that builds through the afternoon and funnels along the Torrens. It reaches the ground more cleanly than at the enclosed Melbourne venues, so it can create a real scoring end.

Frequently. Clear autumn evenings cool quickly after sunset and dew arrives fast, which slows ball movement and pushes the second half under.

No. It is an open bowl, with the northern end more exposed than the heritage scoreboard end.

What the research says

The published studies behind the read on this page at Adelaide Oval. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

AFL Temperature & Scoring
Temperature is the cleanest AFL weather signal: dry matches under 10°C score 9.9 points below their own season average (t=-4.59, n=198), while 25–29°C matches run 12.6 points above it (t=4.88, n=118). Every extra degree is worth about 1.1 points.
2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30°C+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only
AFL Wind & Scoring
Wind below about 20 km/h does nothing measurable to an AFL total. At 20 km/h and above, matches run 5.2 points under their own season average (t=-3.44, n=382 dry matches).
2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30 km/h+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only
AFL Rain & Scoring
Wet games cost 13.6 points on a season-adjusted basis, with the wet end of the scale running at about 3.5 points per millimetre of rain.
4,349 matches across two decades, match-window rainfall

All weather research · How our leans are derived