Optus Stadium weather and microclimate

Live weather and microclimate analysis for Optus Stadium in Perth, with an AI read on how conditions affect the total.

Perth, WA

Open

Grass

60,000 capacity

Game-time forecast at Optus Stadium

Loading the first bounce forecast…

No AFL game is scheduled at Optus Stadium right now. The next fixture appears here automatically as soon as the draw lists one. The 2027 season starts in March. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

Conditions now at the venue

Live conditions are briefly unavailable.

Microclimate profile

Modern enclosed bowl on the Swan River; the tall continuous stands shield much of the surface, so ground-level wind is usually well below the forecast. Hot, dry summer evenings with a reliable late "Fremantle Doctor" sea breeze from the south-west.

GROUND AXIS

82° (E)

ELEVATION

5 m

ROOF

Open

Wind direction is read against the ground axis: a breeze running along the axis helps or hurts kicking end to end, while a crosswind mostly pushes the ball sideways.

Last games at Optus Stadium: conditions vs total

Date	Match	Conditions	Our read	Total
23 Aug 2026	West Coast v Hawthorn	—	—	152 (45-107)
14 Aug 2026	Fremantle v Adelaide	—	—	200 (112-88)
31 July 2026	Fremantle v Western Bulldogs	—	—	119 (78-41)
9 July 2026	Fremantle v Sydney	—	—	184 (111-73)
4 July 2026	West Coast v Adelaide	—	—	173 (74-99)

Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.

Scoring baseline at Optus Stadium

Reading the venue history…

Upcoming games at Optus Stadium

No AFL game is scheduled at Optus Stadium right now. This list fills itself the moment the draw lists one — the 2027 season starts in March. Recent results, the venue scoring baseline and the live conditions read above are current either way.

Weather normals at Optus Stadium, month by month

Measured at the ground for every AFL game we have archived here (183 games). Months with fewer than 5 games are left out rather than averaged from a handful.

Month	Games	Avg temp	Avg wind	Wet games
March	18	26.6°C	15.8 km/h	17%
April	26	21.6°C	14.3 km/h	4%
May	31	19.0°C	12.7 km/h	23%
June	29	16.3°C	11.6 km/h	31%
July	33	15.8°C	13.3 km/h	36%
August	37	16.0°C	16.1 km/h	35%
September	8	15.4°C	12.6 km/h	13%

Scoring in matched conditions at Optus Stadium

Games here have averaged 158.2 combined points across all conditions. Each slice below needs at least 10 games at this ground to appear.

Wind 20+ km/h

140.3

32 games · -17.9 vs venue average

Warm (25°C+)

171.2

17 games · +13.0 vs venue average

Any rain

143.6

46 games · -14.6 vs venue average

These are descriptive historical averages at this ground, not predictions for any future game, and not a claim about betting markets. Slices overlap — a cold game can also be a windy one.

Game-time weather read

No fixture is scheduled at Optus Stadium yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 6 hours before first bounce once a match is on the calendar.

Stadium Map

Optus Stadium weather questions

It is the main wind signal, arriving as a south-westerly through the late afternoon. The stadium bowl blunts it at ground level, so we weight it lower here than at a more exposed venue.

Heat is the more meaningful factor at Optus. High temperatures raise rotations and fatigue late in games, which tends to open the ground up rather than shut scoring down.

No, but the continuous roof canopy over the stands shelters the playing surface more effectively than a typical open ground.

What the research says

The published studies behind the read on this page at Optus Stadium. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

AFL Temperature & Scoring
Temperature is the cleanest AFL weather signal: dry matches under 10°C score 9.9 points below their own season average (t=-4.59, n=198), while 25–29°C matches run 12.6 points above it (t=4.88, n=118). Every extra degree is worth about 1.1 points.
2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30°C+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only
AFL Wind & Scoring
Wind below about 20 km/h does nothing measurable to an AFL total. At 20 km/h and above, matches run 5.2 points under their own season average (t=-3.44, n=382 dry matches).
2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30 km/h+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only
AFL Rain & Scoring
Wet games cost 13.6 points on a season-adjusted basis, with the wet end of the scale running at about 3.5 points per millimetre of rain.
4,349 matches across two decades, match-window rainfall

All weather research · How our leans are derived