Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon) weather and microclimate
Live weather and microclimate analysis for Heritage Bank Stadium at Carrara on the Gold Coast, with an AI read on conditions and the total.
Game-time forecast at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon)
Loading the first bounce forecast…
No AFL game is scheduled at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon) right now. The next fixture appears here automatically as soon as the draw lists one. The 2027 season starts in March. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.
Conditions now at the venue
Live conditions are briefly unavailable.
Microclimate profile
Gold Coast hinterland ground a few kilometres inland; humid subtropical with regular afternoon storms in summer. Sea breeze from the north-east typically sets in mid-afternoon. Heavy dew common on still evenings.
Wind direction is read against the ground axis: a breeze running along the axis helps or hurts kicking end to end, while a crosswind mostly pushes the ball sideways.
Last games at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon): conditions vs total
| Date | Match | Conditions | Our read | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | Gold Coast v Melbourne | — | — | 219 (105-114) |
| 19 July 2026 | Gold Coast v Western Bulldogs | — | — | 145 (68-77) |
| 5 July 2026 | Gold Coast v Collingwood | — | — | 202 (98-104) |
| 19 June 2026 | Gold Coast v Hawthorn | — | — | 210 (97-113) |
| 6 June 2026 | Gold Coast v Brisbane | — | — | 181 (75-106) |
Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.
Scoring baseline at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon)
Reading the venue history…
Upcoming games at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon)
No AFL game is scheduled at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon) right now. This list fills itself the moment the draw lists one — the 2027 season starts in March. Recent results, the venue scoring baseline and the live conditions read above are current either way.
Weather normals at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon), month by month
Measured at the ground for every AFL game we have archived here (184 games). Months with fewer than 5 games are left out rather than averaged from a handful.
| Month | Games | Avg temp | Avg wind | Wet games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March | 11 | 23.1°C | 13.5 km/h | 45% |
| April | 27 | 22.6°C | 13.0 km/h | 33% |
| May | 23 | 20.1°C | 10.9 km/h | 9% |
| June | 32 | 18.3°C | 12.5 km/h | 28% |
| July | 46 | 17.4°C | 11.7 km/h | 17% |
| August | 30 | 17.8°C | 11.7 km/h | 20% |
| September | 14 | 19.8°C | 14.8 km/h | 14% |
Scoring in matched conditions at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon)
Games here have averaged 163.9 combined points across all conditions. Each slice below needs at least 10 games at this ground to appear.
These are descriptive historical averages at this ground, not predictions for any future game, and not a claim about betting markets. Slices overlap — a cold game can also be a windy one.
Game-time weather read
No fixture is scheduled at Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon) yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 6 hours before first bounce once a match is on the calendar.
Stadium Map
Heritage Bank Stadium (Metricon) weather questions
What the research says
The published studies behind the read on this page at Heritage Bank Stadium. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.
- AFL Temperature & Scoring
Temperature is the cleanest AFL weather signal: dry matches under 10°C score 9.9 points below their own season average (t=-4.59, n=198), while 25–29°C matches run 12.6 points above it (t=4.88, n=118). Every extra degree is worth about 1.1 points.
2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30°C+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only
- AFL Wind & Scoring
Wind below about 20 km/h does nothing measurable to an AFL total. At 20 km/h and above, matches run 5.2 points under their own season average (t=-3.44, n=382 dry matches).
2,640 dry matches, 2004–2026, roofed Docklands games excluded, season-adjusted; 30 km/h+ band is below the pre-set 40-match minimum and directional only
- AFL Rain & Scoring
Wet games cost 13.6 points on a season-adjusted basis, with the wet end of the scale running at about 3.5 points per millimetre of rain.
4,349 matches across two decades, match-window rainfall