Villa Park weather

    Live weather and game-time forecast for Villa Park, with kickoff conditions for every Aston Villa home match.

    Home team: Aston Villa
    Birmingham
    Capacity: 42,657

    Game-time forecast at Villa Park

    Loading the kick-off forecast…

    The next English Premier League game at Villa Park is Brentford at Aston Villa, Saturday 10 October at 3:00 pm venue time. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

    Next match at Villa Park: Villa v Brentford

    Aston Villa v Brentford weather at Villa Park

    Aston Villa host Brentford at Villa Park on Saturday 10 October at 3:00 pm venue time.

    Pulling the forecast for kick-off…

    Live stadium conditions

    Live conditions are not available right now. They refresh automatically when the station responds.

    Live readings are context only. The game-time read uses the forecast at kick-off.

    Why Villa Park plays differently

    Villa Park is a classic four-stand ground in inner Birmingham, enclosed enough to take the edge off the wind but fully open to the Midlands' frequent drizzle. Centrally located in England, it avoids the coastal extremes — no sea wind, mild-ish winters — making it one of the more weather-ordinary venues in the league.

    Game-time weather read

    No fixture is scheduled at Villa Park yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 3 hours before kick-off once a match is on the calendar.

    Stadium Map

    Upcoming games at Villa Park

    • Brentford at Aston VillaSat, 10 Oct, 3:00 pm venue time
    • Manchester City at Aston VillaSat, 24 Oct, 12:30 pm venue time
    • Fulham at Aston VillaSat, 31 Oct, 8:00 pm venue time

    Last games at Villa Park: conditions vs total

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    Villa Park weather FAQs

    Rarely. Birmingham's inland position avoids coastal wind and the worst of Atlantic rain bands. Typical winter conditions are cool, grey and drizzly rather than extreme.

    Our English Premier League studies — rain, wind and temperature across 6,120 matches — all came back statistically flat, and Villa Park's sheltered, inland profile sits squarely in that average.

    All kickoff times on this page are shown in UK local time (Europe/London), which is GMT in winter and BST in summer.

    About this page

    Villa Park weather is updated live and produces a game-time forecast read for every home fixture. The page uses one permanent URL for the ground; match-up details rotate as the schedule changes, so search results always point to current conditions. Our own studies of 6,120 English Premier League matches found rain, wind and temperature all leave goal totals statistically unchanged, so these pages stay honest: conditions and context, not exaggerated edge claims.

    What the research says

    The published studies behind the read on this page at Villa Park. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

    • English Premier League Rain & Goals

      Rain does not lower English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches since 2010 the season-adjusted gap against dry matches is +0.06 goals (t = 1.15), and wet matches go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = 1.61). A published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour weather at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Wind & Goals

      Wind does not lower English Premier League scoring. Matches in 20–30 km/h of kickoff wind sit -0.03 goals from calm matches of the same season (t = -0.52), and go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = -0.50). Another published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Temperature & Goals

      Temperature does not move English Premier League scoring. Matches below 5°C sit +0.03 season-adjusted goals from the mild control (t = 0.46), and matches at 20°C or warmer sit -0.03 (t = -0.30). A third published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour temperature at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Rain, Wind & Goals

      Rain and wind together do not move English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches the season-adjusted gap from the dry-and-calm control is +0.08 goals (t = 1.28); the wet-and-windy subset is +0.03 goals (t = 0.37). A fourth published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour rainfall and wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    All weather research · How our leans are derived

    Other English Premier League weather resources