Etihad Stadium weather

    Live weather and game-time forecast for the Etihad Stadium, with kickoff conditions for every Manchester City home match.

    Home team: Manchester City
    Manchester
    Capacity: 55,097

    Game-time forecast at Etihad Stadium

    Loading the kick-off forecast…

    No English Premier League game is scheduled at Etihad Stadium right now. The next fixture appears here automatically as soon as the draw lists one. Other venues are still hosting games this round. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

    Live stadium conditions

    Live conditions are not available right now. They refresh automatically when the station responds.

    Live readings are context only. The game-time read uses the forecast at kick-off.

    Why Etihad Stadium plays differently

    Manchester's rainy reputation is earned: the city sits in the path of Atlantic fronts rising over the Pennines, and the Etihad is an open bowl on the east side of town. The pitch is built for it — modern drainage keeps the surface fast — and our research found Premier League scoring is statistically flat in rain, so a wet forecast here is normal November football rather than a betting signal.

    Game-time weather read

    No fixture is scheduled at Etihad Stadium yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 6 hours before kick-off once a match is on the calendar.

    Stadium Map

    Upcoming games at Etihad Stadium

    No English Premier League game is scheduled at Etihad Stadium right now. This list fills itself the moment the draw lists one. Recent results, the venue scoring baseline and the live conditions read above are current either way.

    Weather normals at Etihad Stadium, month by month

    Measured at the ground for every English Premier League game we have archived here (308 games). Months with fewer than 5 games are left out rather than averaged from a handful.

    MonthGamesAvg tempAvg windWet games
    January334.8°C15.3 km/h30%
    February307.0°C16.7 km/h43%
    March238.2°C16.1 km/h26%
    April3112.1°C15.2 km/h26%
    May3115.4°C17.3 km/h29%
    August2418.0°C14.9 km/h38%
    September2616.8°C15.8 km/h24%
    October2913.1°C16.3 km/h29%
    November308.5°C13.7 km/h37%
    December457.0°C16.0 km/h22%

    Scoring in matched conditions at Etihad Stadium

    Games here have averaged 3.4 combined goals across all conditions. Each slice below needs at least 10 games at this ground to appear.

    Wind 25+ km/h
    4.0
    42 games · +0.6 vs venue average
    Cold (under 5°C)
    3.1
    43 games · -0.3 vs venue average
    Mild (18°C+)
    3.9
    32 games · +0.5 vs venue average
    Any rain
    3.7
    92 games · +0.3 vs venue average

    These are descriptive historical averages at this ground, not predictions for any future game, and not a claim about betting markets. Slices overlap — a cold game can also be a windy one.

    Last games at Etihad Stadium: conditions vs total

    DateMatchConditionsOur readTotal
    17 Oct 2026Man City v Ipswich——5 (3-2)
    20 Sept 2026Man City v Sunderland——8 (5-3)
    5 Sept 2026Man City v Coventry——1 (1-0)
    23 Aug 2026Man City v Bournemouth——3 (2-1)
    24 May 2026Man City v Aston Villa——3 (1-2)

    Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.

    Etihad Stadium weather FAQs

    Yes — the Pennines force Atlantic air upward, and the Manchester area is among the wettest in England. Expect more wet kickoffs here than at any London ground.

    Our 6,120-match English Premier League study found no significant scoring drop in rain, and matches in rain went Over 2.5 goals at 55.4% against a market-implied 53.3% — inside noise. Drainage at modern grounds like the Etihad keeps the surface playable.

    All kickoff times on this page are shown in UK local time (Europe/London), which is GMT in winter and BST in summer.

    About this page

    Etihad Stadium weather is updated live and produces a game-time forecast read for every home fixture. The page uses one permanent URL for the ground; match-up details rotate as the schedule changes, so search results always point to current conditions. Our own studies of 6,120 English Premier League matches found rain, wind and temperature all leave goal totals statistically unchanged, so these pages stay honest: conditions and context, not exaggerated edge claims.

    What the research says

    The published studies behind the read on this page at Etihad Stadium. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

    • English Premier League Rain & Goals

      Rain does not lower English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches since 2010 the season-adjusted gap against dry matches is +0.06 goals (t = 1.15), and wet matches go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = 1.61). A published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour weather at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Wind & Goals

      Wind does not lower English Premier League scoring. Matches in 20–30 km/h of kickoff wind sit -0.03 goals from calm matches of the same season (t = -0.52), and go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = -0.50). Another published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Temperature & Goals

      Temperature does not move English Premier League scoring. Matches below 5°C sit +0.03 season-adjusted goals from the mild control (t = 0.46), and matches at 20°C or warmer sit -0.03 (t = -0.30). A third published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour temperature at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Rain, Wind & Goals

      Rain and wind together do not move English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches the season-adjusted gap from the dry-and-calm control is +0.08 goals (t = 1.28); the wet-and-windy subset is +0.03 goals (t = 0.37). A fourth published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour rainfall and wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    All weather research · How our leans are derived

    Other English Premier League weather resources