St James' Park weather

    Live weather and game-time forecast for St James' Park, with kickoff conditions for every Newcastle United home match.

    Home team: Newcastle United
    Newcastle upon Tyne
    Capacity: 52,258

    Game-time forecast at St James' Park
    Weather lean unlocks 3h before start

    Hull City @ Newcastle Unitedkick-off Sat 3:00 pm venue time (in 8 hours).

    Temperature
    18°C
    Wind
    26 km/h
    WSW (253°)
    Rain chance
    0%
    Conditions
    Clouds

    Providers disagree on rain (0% vs 0%); the wetter reading is used.

    Lean pending: These are the kick-off readings. Weather lean unlocks 3h before start, once the forecast is settled enough to call.

    Research model
    0 points

    EPL is forecast-only: our rain, wind and temperature studies (6,120 matches) all found no significant scoring effect.

    Lead-time reliability still being measured for EPL

    This is the forecast for kick-off, not the weather right now. Current readings are below.

    The next English Premier League game at St James' Park is Hull City at Newcastle United, Saturday 19 September at 3:00 pm venue time. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

    Next match at St James' Park: United v City

    Newcastle United v Hull City weather at St James' Park

    Newcastle United host Hull City at St James' Park on Saturday 19 September at 3:00 pm venue time. Forecast at kick-off: 18°C, wind 26 km/h, 0% rain chance.

    Live stadium conditions

    Live conditions are not available right now. They refresh automatically when the station responds.

    Live readings are context only. The game-time read uses the forecast at kick-off.

    Why St James' Park plays differently

    St James' Park sits high above the city centre and is one of the most exposed grounds in the league — the huge Gallowgate End stand actually funnels wind through the open corners. Newcastle is among the coldest Premier League cities in winter, so single-digit temperatures with wind chill are the norm from November to February. Our research found even freezing Premier League matches score like mild ones.

    Game-time weather read

    Hull City at Newcastle United · Sat 3:00 pm venue time

    Lean unlocks 3 hours before kick-off

    Nothing is published earlier than that. The forecast for kick-off at St James' Park is not settled enough further out to be worth reading.

    Stadium Map

    Upcoming games at St James' Park

    • Hull City at Newcastle UnitedSat, 19 Sept, 3:00 pm venue time
    • Aston Villa at Newcastle UnitedSat, 17 Oct, 5:30 pm venue time
    • Everton at Newcastle UnitedMon, 2 Nov, 8:00 pm venue time

    Last games at St James' Park: conditions vs total

    Loading past games…

    St James' Park weather FAQs

    Yes. Newcastle regularly records the coldest kickoffs in the league, with wind chill on the hilltop making it feel colder still. Our temperature study found no scoring effect from cold — freezing matches averaged within 0.03 goals of mild ones across 6,120 games.

    It does. The tall asymmetric stands create odd air currents at pitch level, and the open corners let north-easterlies straight through. Players talk about it; the numbers say it doesn't move goal totals.

    All kickoff times on this page are shown in UK local time (Europe/London), which is GMT in winter and BST in summer.

    About this page

    St James' Park weather is updated live and produces a game-time forecast read for every home fixture. The page uses one permanent URL for the ground; match-up details rotate as the schedule changes, so search results always point to current conditions. Our own studies of 6,120 English Premier League matches found rain, wind and temperature all leave goal totals statistically unchanged, so these pages stay honest: conditions and context, not exaggerated edge claims.

    What the research says

    The published studies behind the read on this page at St James' Park. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

    • English Premier League Rain & Goals

      Rain does not lower English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches since 2010 the season-adjusted gap against dry matches is +0.06 goals (t = 1.15), and wet matches go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = 1.61). A published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour weather at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Wind & Goals

      Wind does not lower English Premier League scoring. Matches in 20–30 km/h of kickoff wind sit -0.03 goals from calm matches of the same season (t = -0.52), and go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = -0.50). Another published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Temperature & Goals

      Temperature does not move English Premier League scoring. Matches below 5°C sit +0.03 season-adjusted goals from the mild control (t = 0.46), and matches at 20°C or warmer sit -0.03 (t = -0.30). A third published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour temperature at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Rain, Wind & Goals

      Rain and wind together do not move English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches the season-adjusted gap from the dry-and-calm control is +0.08 goals (t = 1.28); the wet-and-windy subset is +0.03 goals (t = 0.37). A fourth published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour rainfall and wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    All weather research · How our leans are derived

    Other English Premier League weather resources