Emirates Stadium weather

    Live weather and game-time forecast for Emirates Stadium, with kickoff conditions for every Arsenal home match.

    Home team: Arsenal
    London
    Capacity: 60,704

    Game-time forecast at Emirates Stadium

    Loading the kick-off forecast…

    The next English Premier League game at Emirates Stadium is Leeds United at Arsenal, Saturday 10 October at 12:30 pm venue time. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

    Next match at Emirates Stadium: Arsenal v United

    Arsenal v Leeds United weather at Emirates Stadium

    Arsenal host Leeds United at Emirates Stadium on Saturday 10 October at 12:30 pm venue time.

    Pulling the forecast for kick-off…

    Live stadium conditions

    Live conditions are not available right now. They refresh automatically when the station responds.

    Live readings are context only. The game-time read uses the forecast at kick-off.

    Why Emirates Stadium plays differently

    The Emirates is a fully enclosed urban bowl in north London, and its high continuous stands block most of the wind at pitch level. London is also one of the driest and mildest parts of England, so extreme weather is rare here. The most common weather complaint is a slick pitch after rain, which tends to suit a passing side rather than suppress goals.

    Game-time weather read

    No fixture is scheduled at Emirates Stadium yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 3 hours before kick-off once a match is on the calendar.

    Stadium Map

    Upcoming games at Emirates Stadium

    • Leeds United at ArsenalSat, 10 Oct, 12:30 pm venue time
    • Everton at ArsenalSat, 24 Oct, 3:00 pm venue time

    Last games at Emirates Stadium: conditions vs total

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    Emirates Stadium weather FAQs

    Yes. The continuous high stands wrap the pitch completely, so wind at ground level is usually far lighter than the city forecast suggests. Only storm-force days push meaningful wind into the bowl.

    Rarely. London winters are mild, and our English Premier League temperature study found no measurable scoring difference between freezing, cold and mild matches across 6,120 games.

    All kickoff times on this page are shown in UK local time (Europe/London), which is GMT in winter and BST in summer.

    About this page

    Emirates Stadium weather is updated live and produces a game-time forecast read for every home fixture. The page uses one permanent URL for the ground; match-up details rotate as the schedule changes, so search results always point to current conditions. Our own studies of 6,120 English Premier League matches found rain, wind and temperature all leave goal totals statistically unchanged, so these pages stay honest: conditions and context, not exaggerated edge claims.

    What the research says

    The published studies behind the read on this page at Emirates Stadium. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

    • English Premier League Rain & Goals

      Rain does not lower English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches since 2010 the season-adjusted gap against dry matches is +0.06 goals (t = 1.15), and wet matches go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = 1.61). A published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour weather at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Wind & Goals

      Wind does not lower English Premier League scoring. Matches in 20–30 km/h of kickoff wind sit -0.03 goals from calm matches of the same season (t = -0.52), and go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = -0.50). Another published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Temperature & Goals

      Temperature does not move English Premier League scoring. Matches below 5°C sit +0.03 season-adjusted goals from the mild control (t = 0.46), and matches at 20°C or warmer sit -0.03 (t = -0.30). A third published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour temperature at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    • English Premier League Rain, Wind & Goals

      Rain and wind together do not move English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches the season-adjusted gap from the dry-and-calm control is +0.08 goals (t = 1.28); the wet-and-windy subset is +0.03 goals (t = 0.37). A fourth published null.

      6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour rainfall and wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

    All weather research · How our leans are derived

    Other English Premier League weather resources