American Express Stadium weather

Live weather and game-time forecast for the Amex Stadium, with kickoff conditions for every Brighton home match.

Home team: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton

Capacity: 31,876

Game-time forecast at American Express Stadium

Loading the kick-off forecast…

No English Premier League game is scheduled at American Express Stadium right now. The next fixture appears here automatically as soon as the draw lists one. Other venues are still hosting games this round. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

Live stadium conditions

Live conditions are not available right now. They refresh automatically when the station responds.

Live readings are context only. The game-time read uses the forecast at kick-off.

Why American Express Stadium plays differently

The Amex sits in a fold of the South Downs at Falmer, a couple of miles from the English Channel, and south-westerly sea winds funnel up the valley straight into the ground. It is one of the breezier venues in the league on storm days. Brighton is also milder and sunnier than most of England, so deep-winter cold snaps are shorter here.

Game-time weather read

No fixture is scheduled at American Express Stadium yet. The game-time weather read is written automatically 6 hours before kick-off once a match is on the calendar.

Stadium Map

Upcoming games at American Express Stadium

No English Premier League game is scheduled at American Express Stadium right now. This list fills itself the moment the draw lists one. Recent results, the venue scoring baseline and the live conditions read above are current either way.

Weather normals at American Express Stadium, month by month

Measured at the ground for every English Premier League game we have archived here (175 games). Months with fewer than 5 games are left out rather than averaged from a handful.

Month	Games	Avg temp	Avg wind	Wet games
January	17	6.5°C	16.0 km/h	29%
February	17	6.8°C	23.3 km/h	18%
March	15	8.9°C	16.8 km/h	47%
April	16	11.9°C	18.9 km/h	31%
May	18	14.7°C	13.0 km/h	28%
August	14	20.0°C	19.9 km/h	43%
September	16	17.9°C	17.0 km/h	20%
October	18	14.6°C	19.3 km/h	35%
November	15	9.9°C	24.2 km/h	40%
December	24	8.4°C	18.7 km/h	33%

Scoring in matched conditions at American Express Stadium

Games here have averaged 2.7 combined goals across all conditions. Each slice below needs at least 10 games at this ground to appear.

Wind 25+ km/h

2.8

40 games · +0.1 vs venue average

Cold (under 5°C)

2.2

17 games · -0.5 vs venue average

Mild (18°C+)

3.0

26 games · +0.3 vs venue average

Any rain

2.8

55 games · +0.1 vs venue average

These are descriptive historical averages at this ground, not predictions for any future game, and not a claim about betting markets. Slices overlap — a cold game can also be a windy one.

Last games at American Express Stadium: conditions vs total

Date	Match	Conditions	Our read	Total
18 Oct 2026	Brighton v Crystal Palace	—	—	5 (5-0)
19 Sept 2026	Brighton v Arsenal	—	—	3 (3-0)
5 Sept 2026	Brighton v Leeds	—	—	2 (1-1)
23 Aug 2026	Brighton v Aston Villa	—	—	4 (4-0)
24 May 2026	Brighton v Man United	—	—	3 (0-3)

Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.

American Express Stadium weather FAQs

It can. The stadium sits in a valley opening toward the Channel, so strong south-westerlies reach the pitch more than at sheltered urban grounds. Our league-wide wind study still found no significant scoring effect, even above 40 km/h.

Milder and brighter. The south coast gets less frost and more winter sunshine than the north, though it catches Channel storms that miss inland grounds.

All kickoff times on this page are shown in UK local time (Europe/London), which is GMT in winter and BST in summer.

About this page

American Express Stadium weather is updated live and produces a game-time forecast read for every home fixture. The page uses one permanent URL for the ground; match-up details rotate as the schedule changes, so search results always point to current conditions. Our own studies of 6,120 English Premier League matches found rain, wind and temperature all leave goal totals statistically unchanged, so these pages stay honest: conditions and context, not exaggerated edge claims.

What the research says

The published studies behind the read on this page at American Express Stadium. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

English Premier League Rain & Goals
Rain does not lower English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches since 2010 the season-adjusted gap against dry matches is +0.06 goals (t = 1.15), and wet matches go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = 1.61). A published null.
6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour weather at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds
English Premier League Wind & Goals
Wind does not lower English Premier League scoring. Matches in 20–30 km/h of kickoff wind sit -0.03 goals from calm matches of the same season (t = -0.52), and go Over 2.5 within noise of the closing odds (z = -0.50). Another published null.
6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds
English Premier League Temperature & Goals
Temperature does not move English Premier League scoring. Matches below 5°C sit +0.03 season-adjusted goals from the mild control (t = 0.46), and matches at 20°C or warmer sit -0.03 (t = -0.30). A third published null.
6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour temperature at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds
English Premier League Rain, Wind & Goals
Rain and wind together do not move English Premier League scoring. Across 1,451 wet matches the season-adjusted gap from the dry-and-calm control is +0.08 goals (t = 1.28); the wet-and-windy subset is +0.03 goals (t = 0.37). A fourth published null.
6,120 league matches, 2010-11 to 2026-27, every one with kickoff-hour rainfall and wind at the stadium's own coordinates and closing Over/Under 2.5 odds

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