Vaught-Hemingway Stadium weather

    Live weather and kickoff forecast for Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, with a plain-English read on Mississippi heat and storm chances.

    Home team: Ole Miss Rebels
    SEC
    Roof: Open
    Surface: Natural Grass
    Capacity: 64,038
    Field bearing: 0° N

    Game-time forecast at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
    Weather lean unlocks 6h before start

    Auburn Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels — kickoff Sat 11:45 am venue time (in 2 days).

    Temperature
    76°F
    Wind
    8 mph
    SE (134°)
    Rain chance
    3%
    Conditions
    Clouds

    Providers disagree on rain (0% vs 3%); the wetter reading is used.

    Lean pending: These are the kickoff readings. Weather lean unlocks 6h before start, once the forecast is settled enough to call.

    Research model
    0 points

    Note: Trace rain (0.1-1 mm) — 0.6 mm across the game window: Trace rain shows no measurable scoring effect in college football (t=-0.48 on 449 games). Rain total estimated from the game-time rate across a 3-hour window.

    Lead-time reliability still being measured for COLLEGE

    This is the forecast for kickoff, not the weather right now. Current readings are below.

    The next college football game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium is Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels, Saturday 31 October at 11:45 am venue time. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

    Next match at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium: Rebels v Tigers

    Ole Miss Rebels v Auburn Tigers weather at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

    Ole Miss Rebels host Auburn Tigers at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday 31 October at 11:45 am venue time. Forecast at kickoff: 76°F, wind 8 mph, 3% rain chance.

    Live stadium conditions

    Live conditions are not available right now. They refresh automatically when the station responds.

    Live readings are context only. The game-time read uses the forecast at kickoff.

    Why Vaught-Hemingway Stadium plays differently

    North Mississippi heat and humidity with tree cover around the bowl reducing wind at field level.

    Game-time weather read

    Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels · Sat 11:45 am venue time

    Lean unlocks 6 hours before kickoff

    Nothing is published earlier than that. The forecast for kickoff at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium is not settled enough further out to be worth reading.

    Stadium Map

    Upcoming games at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

    • Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss RebelsSat, 31 Oct, 11:45 am venue time
    • Georgia Bulldogs at Ole Miss RebelsSat, 7 Nov, 6:30 pm venue time
    • Wofford Terriers at Ole Miss RebelsSat, 21 Nov, 11:00 am venue time
    • Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss RebelsFri, 27 Nov, 11:00 am venue time

    Weather normals at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, month by month

    Measured at the ground for every college football game we have archived here (71 games). Months with fewer than 5 games are left out rather than averaged from a handful.

    MonthGamesAvg tempAvg windWet games
    September2883.3°F5.1 mph8%
    October1971.6°F5.5 mph11%
    November2257.3°F6.4 mph9%

    Scoring in matched conditions at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

    Games here have averaged 62.9 combined points across all conditions. Each slice below needs at least 10 games at this ground to appear.

    Hot (85°F+)
    65.6
    12 games · +2.7 vs venue average

    These are descriptive historical averages at this ground, not predictions for any future game, and not a claim about betting markets. Slices overlap — a cold game can also be a windy one.

    Last games at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium: conditions vs total

    DateMatchConditionsOur readTotal
    19 Sept 2026Ole Miss Rebels v LSU Tigers——56 (32-24)
    12 Sept 2026Ole Miss Rebels v Charlotte 49ers——50 (41-9)
    15 Nov 2025Ole Miss Rebels v Florida Gators——58 (34-24)
    8 Nov 2025Ole Miss Rebels v The Citadel Bulldogs——49 (49-0)
    1 Nov 2025Ole Miss Rebels v South Carolina Gamecocks——44 (30-14)

    Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.

    Vaught-Hemingway Stadium weather FAQs

    Hot and humid, often in the upper 80s or 90s — evening kickoffs are the norm early in the season.

    Seldom. The field sits sheltered within the bowl and regional winds are usually light.

    November can bring cool, occasionally wet games, but true cold is rare until late in the schedule.

    About this page

    Vaught-Hemingway Stadium weather is updated live and produces a game-time forecast read for every home game. The page uses one permanent URL for the venue; match-up details rotate as the schedule changes, so search results always point to current conditions. Our own study of 4,330 college football games found wind alone showed no material scoring deviation, so we keep these reads descriptive — conditions and context, not exaggerated edge claims.

    What the research says

    The published studies behind the read on this page at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

    • College Football Domes vs the Market

      Indoor college football games finished 0.4 points below the closing total (102 Overs, 139 Unders, n=244, t=-0.45): statistically flat, unlike the NFL's +2.2. Campus domes were +0.2 (t=0.19).

      7,182 college football games 2016–2025; 246 indoor, 244 with closing totals

    • Windiest College Football Stadiums

      Huskie Stadium (Northern Illinois) is the windiest FBS venue at 10.7 mph average kickoff wind across 54 games since 2016, with 16.7% of games at 15+ mph; BYU's LaVell Edwards Stadium is the calmest at 3.4 mph. Wind lowers scoring: 15-20 mph games scored -4.0 points vs calm (t=-3.34).

      7,249 outdoor games at 122 venues, 2016-2025; 114 venues ranked with 40+ games

    • Highest-Elevation College Football Stadiums

      Wyoming's War Memorial Stadium is the highest FBS venue at 7,205 feet, with Air Force's Falcon Stadium second at 6,726; nine college venues sit higher than Denver's Mile High. At 5,000 feet air is about 15% thinner, so kicks carry further and evenings cool about 3.5°F per 1,000 feet.

      Elevations at venue coordinates for all FBS stadiums, snapshot 2026-10-10

    • Coldest College Football Stadiums

      Minnesota's Huntington Bank Stadium is the coldest FBS venue (54.9°F avg kickoff, 66 games). Freezing games (<=32°F) score 6.2 points less than mild games (Welch t=-3.85, p=0.0002) but finish only 0.9 points under the closing total.

      7,249 outdoor FBS games with ERA5 kickoff temperatures, 2016-2025

    • How Rain Affects College Football Games

      Across 7,072 outdoor FBS games since 2016, light rain changed scoring by half a point; heavy rain (2.5 mm+) cut about 5.1 points (71 games, t=-2.81).

      7,072 outdoor FBS games with closing totals, 2016-2025

    • College Football Wind, Scoring & Kicking

      Wind lowers college scoring: 10-15 mph costs 1.3 points (t=-2.28) and 15-20 mph costs 4.0 points (t=-3.34), season-adjusted against a calm control. Strong-wind games lean under at 55.6%, a marginal edge that does not clear our confidence threshold.

      7,072 outdoor games with closing totals, 2016-2025

    • College Football Heat & Humidity Shock

      Do cool-climate teams underperform when they travel into hot, humid Southern venues in August and September? Graded against closing lines, with control games alongside.

      Ten seasons of Aug–Sept road games

    • College Football Extreme Heat & Totals

      A widely repeated claim says non-conference games go Over about 59% of the time at 85–106°F. Our data: 52.8% against a 49.1% control — no meaningful edge.

      Ten seasons of kickoff-hour temperatures graded against closing totals

    • College Football Rain & Totals

      Light rain does nothing to college football scoring, but games with 2.5 mm or more of game-window rain score about 5 points below dry games and finish roughly 4 points under the closing total. The working explanation is that totals move too slowly once a reliable heavy-rain forecast firms up, not that the market ignores rain.

      About 7,070 outdoor games with closing totals, 2016–2025 (960 wet, 71 heavy)

    • College Football Temperature & Scoring

      Below freezing, dry outdoor college games score 5.2 points fewer than mild-weather games (t = -3.08). Merely cold, 32-49F, is worth nothing (-0.8, t = -1.19). Heat adds a little: 85F and above is +1.8 points (t = 2.40), with an overall gradient of about +0.6 points per 10F. No temperature band beats the closing total.

      6,593 dry outdoor games with closing totals, 2016-2025, season-adjusted against a 50-69F control

    • Hottest College Football Stadiums

      Arizona State's Mountain America Stadium is the hottest FBS venue at 85.5°F average kickoff temperature — nearly 6°F clear of second place. Games at 95°F+ average 59.5 points vs 55.6 in mild weather: heat does not suppress scoring (not significant, p ≈ 0.11), and the market prices it roughly right (+1.6 vs closing total, p ≈ 0.46).

      7,249 outdoor regular-season FBS games (2016–2025); 117 venues with 40+ games; 60 games at 95°F+

    All weather research · How our leans are derived

    Other college football weather resources