Rate Field weather

    Live weather and microclimate analysis for Rate Field, with a game-time forecast read for every White Sox home game.

    Roof: Open
    Surface: Grass

    Game-time forecast at Rate Field
    Game-time lean: Neutral

    Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox — first pitch Fri 6:40 pm venue time (in 17 hours).

    Temperature
    67°F
    Wind
    5 mph
    E (83°)
    Rain chance
    4%
    Conditions
    Clouds

    Why neutral: Nothing in the forecast clears a threshold our own research has measured, so conditions are neutral for this total.

    Research model
    0 runs

    Note: Wind blowing in from the outfield at 5 mph: Total runs move -0.14 (t=-0.84) — not distinguishable from no effect, so it does not move the number. Home runs move -0.15 a game in this band (t=-2.48).

    Lead-time reliability still being measured for MLB

    This is the forecast for first pitch, not the weather right now. Current readings are below.

    The next MLB game at Rate Field is Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox, Friday 18 September at 6:40 pm venue time. Live conditions at the ground are briefly unavailable — the reading refreshes on its own.

    Next match at Rate Field: Sox v Tigers

    Chicago White Sox v Detroit Tigers weather at Rate Field

    Chicago White Sox host Detroit Tigers at Rate Field on Friday 18 September at 6:40 pm venue time. Forecast at first bounce: 67°F, wind 5 mph, 4% rain chance. Weather is not a factor on this read.

    Live ballpark conditions

    Live conditions are not available right now. They refresh automatically when the station responds.

    Live readings are context only. The AI analysis and lean use the forecast at first pitch.

    Why Rate Field plays differently

    Rate Field is one of the American League's best home-run parks in summer. When the warm southwest wind blows out toward left, fly balls ride a genuine jet stream and scoring jumps. The same openness hurts in April and September: cold lake-influenced air and a north wind knock fly balls down. Like Wrigley across town, wind direction is the number that matters — but here the default in July is carry, not suppression.

    Game-time weather read
    Neutral

    Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox · Fri 6:40 pm venue time

    At Guaranteed Rate Field, the game-time read is neutral for the run total: 67°F with 71% humidity, clouds, and a 9 mph ENE wind blowing in from the outfield, which trims carry about 10. 9 feet and leaves home run upside a bit muted at first pitch at game time.

    That said, the park’s dimensions and Chicago’s evening dew/marine-layer tendencies are just background context here; the forecast doesn’t clear the stronger suppressant combo we’d want for an Under call, so weather is only a modest factor among many. For bettors, that means no weather-driven push to the over and no true under trigger either, especially with the wind only in the light-to-moderate range and temperatures not cold enough to materially suppress offense.

    The kickoff forecast is the call, and it grades as Neutral for run totals and most HR props.

    Written automatically from the forecast for first pitch at Rate Field. Weather is one factor among many.

    Stadium Map

    Upcoming games at Rate Field

    • Detroit Tigers at Chicago White SoxFri, 18 Sept, 6:40 pm venue time
    • Detroit Tigers at Chicago White SoxSat, 19 Sept, 6:10 pm venue time
    • Detroit Tigers at Chicago White SoxSun, 20 Sept, 1:10 pm venue time

    Scoring baseline at Rate Field

    Reading the venue history…

    Last games at Rate Field: conditions vs total

    DateMatchConditionsOur readTotal
    26 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox v Texas Rangers——14 (10-4)
    25 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox v Texas Rangers——18 (11-7)
    24 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox v Texas Rangers——13 (2-11)
    23 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox v New York Mets——3 (2-1)
    22 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox v New York Mets——15 (5-10)

    Rows without conditions are archive results — final scores at this ground. Rows tagged with conditions and our read build up as we grade games here.

    Ballpark weather FAQs

    About this page

    Rate Field weather is updated live and produces a game-time forecast read for every home game. The page uses one permanent URL for the venue; match-up details rotate as the schedule changes, so search results always point to current conditions.

    What the research says

    The published studies behind the read on this page at Rate Field. Every figure is season-adjusted, with sample sizes and t-statistics shown.

    • MLB Wind Direction & Scoring

      Wind blowing in costs 0.25 home runs and 0.41 runs per game against calm. Wind blowing out lifts home runs (+0.18) but not total runs.

      11,581 outdoor games, 2021–2026, resolved against each park's own field bearing

    • MLB Temperature & Scoring

      Cold is the cleaner signal: under 50°F a game loses 1.14 runs and 0.72 home runs against mild weather. Heat helps less — 90°F+ adds 0.64 runs and 0.38 home runs.

      10,717 dry outdoor games, 2021–2026, season- and park-adjusted against the 70–79°F control

    All weather research · How our leans are derived

    Other MLB weather resources